U.S. METRO ECONOMIC HEALTH · RANK #18 OF 50
Seattle
Seattle-Tacoma-Bellevue
B
Average
50.7 score
Rank 18 of 50 metros
Metric Scorecard
Labor Demand 25% weight
46
Unemployment 20% weight
10
Wage Growth 15% weight
98
Cost of Living 12% weight
37
Labor Force YoY 10% weight
22
Bldg. Permits 10% weight
90
Days on Market 5% weight
92
Office Economy 3% weight
76
Key Indicators
Unemployment
4.9%
unemployment rate
Wage Growth YoY
+8.1%
avg hourly earnings
Employment Growth
-0.1%
nonfarm payrolls YoY
Labor Force YoY
-0.8%
civilian labor force YoY
Building Permits
+42.8%
permits YoY
Days on Market
34 days
median days on market
Labor Market Signal
SQUEEZE
Payrolls contracting while hours rise — survivor squeeze signal.
Economic Analysis

The Seattle-Tacoma-Bellevue metro area has an overall grade of B, ranking 50.7th percentile out of 50 US metros, with a composite score driven largely by its high wage growth and strong building permits activity. The city's economic character is defined by its top-tier wage growth of 8.13% year-over-year and its significant increase in building permits, up 42.78% year-over-year. These metrics suggest a city with a strong, growing economy, but also one with potential labor cost and affordability challenges.

Labor Demand

The Seattle-Tacoma-Bellevue metro area has an employment growth rate of -0.09% year-over-year, combined with a weekly hours deviation of +0.192% from its own trend, resulting in a labor demand composite score of 3.98, which ranks near the median at the 46th percentile. This combination signals a slight survivor squeeze, where remaining workers are absorbing the load of eliminated roles. The near-median ranking indicates a relatively stable labor market.

Unemployment

The unemployment rate in Seattle-Tacoma-Bellevue is 4.90%, ranking at the 10th percentile, indicating a tight labor market with significant slack. This means that businesses trying to hire in this city may face challenges in finding available workers, potentially leading to upward pressure on wages. The low unemployment rate suggests that workers have more bargaining power.

Wage Growth

The year-over-year wage growth in Seattle-Tacoma-Bellevue is 8.13%, ranking at the 98th percentile, indicating very fast wage growth. This rapid wage growth implies rising labor costs for employers, but also increasing purchasing power for workers. As a result, businesses may need to adjust their compensation packages to remain competitive.

Cost of Living

Seattle-Tacoma-Bellevue has a cost of living score that ranks at the 37th percentile, with a price-to-salary ratio of $452/sqft to $47.67/hr, or 9.48, which is below average. The city's cost of living is relatively expensive, but the -2.8% year-over-year change in PSF suggests some improvement in affordability. This means that the city may not have a significant talent attraction advantage without offering wage premiums.

Labor Force Growth

The civilian labor force in Seattle-Tacoma-Bellevue is growing at a rate of -0.80% year-over-year, ranking at the 22nd percentile, indicating a contracting labor pool. This contraction implies a structural headwind for hiring, as the supply of available workers is shrinking. Businesses may need to consider strategies to attract workers from other areas.

Building Permits

The number of building permits in Seattle-Tacoma-Bellevue has increased by 42.78% year-over-year, ranking at the 90th percentile, signaling a significant expansion in housing supply. This increase suggests that future affordability and workforce accommodation may improve, as more housing units become available. The strong growth in building permits is a positive indicator for the city's future economic development.

Days on Market

The median days on market for homes in Seattle-Tacoma-Bellevue is 34 days, with a year-over-year increase of 13.3%, ranking at the 92nd percentile. This indicates a slower market, where homes are sitting longer before being sold. For workers relocating to this city, the slower market may make it easier to find a home, but it also suggests a less competitive housing market.

Office Economy

Seattle-Tacoma-Bellevue has a professional and office worker share of 3.36, ranking at the 76th percentile, indicating a deep talent pool suited for tech, finance, consulting, and HQ decisions. The city is well-suited for businesses that require specialized knowledge-economy workers, but may be less suitable for industrial or logistics-dominant businesses.

The Seattle-Tacoma-Bellevue metro area offers businesses a strong, growing economy with a highly skilled workforce, but also presents challenges such as rapid wage growth and a relatively expensive cost of living. The single biggest risk or constraint for decision-makers is the potential labor cost increase due to the tight labor market and fast wage growth, which may impact businesses' bottom line and require adjustments to their compensation strategies.