U.S. METRO ECONOMIC HEALTH · RANK #15 OF 50
San Diego
San Diego-Chula Vista-Carlsbad
B+
Above Average
56.6 score
Rank 15 of 50 metros
Metric Scorecard
Labor Demand 25% weight
76
Unemployment 20% weight
50
Wage Growth 15% weight
76
Cost of Living 12% weight
16
Labor Force YoY 10% weight
28
Bldg. Permits 10% weight
66
Days on Market 5% weight
50
Office Economy 3% weight
78
Key Indicators
Unemployment
4.3%
unemployment rate
Wage Growth YoY
+5.9%
avg hourly earnings
Employment Growth
+1.0%
nonfarm payrolls YoY
Labor Force YoY
-0.7%
civilian labor force YoY
Building Permits
+12.4%
permits YoY
Days on Market
38 days
median days on market
Labor Market Signal
GROWING
Payrolls expanding; hours softening — healthy growth with some moderation.
Economic Analysis

The San Diego-Chula Vista-Carlsbad metro area has an overall grade of B+ with a composite score ranking at the 56.6th percentile among 50 US metros. This city's economic character is most defined by its above-average labor demand, with a composite score at the 76th percentile, and its high wage growth rate of 5.93% year-over-year. The combination of these metrics suggests a strong and expanding job market.

Labor Demand

The employment growth rate in San Diego-Chula Vista-Carlsbad is 0.98% year-over-year, and weekly hours are deviating from the trend by -0.076%, indicating a genuine demand expansion. This combination signals that the city is adding jobs and workers are putting in slightly fewer hours than expected, suggesting a healthy and sustainable pace of growth. The labor demand composite score of 5.60 further reinforces this assessment, ranking at the 76th percentile.

Unemployment

The unemployment rate in San Diego-Chula Vista-Carlsbad is 4.30%, which is near the median among US metros, ranking at the 50th percentile. This suggests that the job market has some slack, but not excessively so, making it relatively manageable for businesses to hire workers. However, the moderate unemployment rate may not provide as much downward pressure on wages as a higher rate would.

Wage Growth

The year-over-year wage growth rate in San Diego-Chula Vista-Carlsbad is 5.93%, which is above average, ranking at the 76th percentile. This rapid wage growth implies that labor costs for employers are rising, but it also means that workers have increasing purchasing power. As a result, businesses may need to factor in higher labor costs, but they can also benefit from a more affluent local consumer base.

Cost of Living

San Diego-Chula Vista-Carlsbad has a cost of living score ranking at the 16th percentile, with a price-to-salary ratio of $605 per square foot to $43.22 per hour, indicating that the city is relatively expensive. The fact that the price per square foot is falling by 4.1% year-over-year is a positive sign, but the overall affordability score remains low. This suggests that attracting talent may require wage premiums to compensate for the high cost of living.

Labor Force Growth

The civilian labor force in San Diego-Chula Vista-Carlsbad is shrinking by 0.65% year-over-year, ranking at the 28th percentile. This contraction in the labor force supply implies that hiring capacity may be constrained, making it more challenging for businesses to find and recruit workers. As a result, companies may need to invest more in talent development and retention.

Building Permits

The number of residential building permits in San Diego-Chula Vista-Carlsbad is increasing by 12.45% year-over-year, ranking at the 66th percentile. This expansion in housing supply is a positive sign for future affordability and workforce accommodation, suggesting that the city is taking steps to address its housing needs. As a result, businesses can expect a more stable and affordable housing market for their workers.

Days on Market

The median days on market for homes in San Diego-Chula Vista-Carlsbad is 38 days, with a year-over-year increase of 2.7%, ranking at the 50th percentile. This suggests that the housing market is relatively balanced, neither extremely competitive nor excessively slow. For workers relocating to the city, this means that they can expect a moderately accessible housing market.

Office Economy

San Diego-Chula Vista-Carlsbad has a deep professional talent pool, with an office economy score ranking at the 78th percentile. This makes the city well-suited for businesses in the tech, finance, consulting, and HQ sectors, which require a high concentration of specialized knowledge workers. However, the city may be less suitable for industries that rely heavily on industrial or logistics workers.

The San Diego-Chula Vista-Carlsbad metro area offers businesses a strong and expanding job market, with above-average labor demand and high wage growth. However, the city's relatively high cost of living and shrinking labor force supply are significant constraints that decision-makers should factor into their location decisions, potentially requiring wage premiums and targeted talent development strategies to attract and retain workers.