U.S. METRO ECONOMIC HEALTH · RANK #25 OF 50
Providence
Providence-Warwick
B-
Below Average
48.4 score
Rank 25 of 50 metros
Metric Scorecard
Labor Demand 25% weight
64
Unemployment 20% weight
20
Wage Growth 15% weight
50
Cost of Living 12% weight
2
Labor Force YoY 10% weight
88
Bldg. Permits 10% weight
98
Days on Market 5% weight
2
Office Economy 3% weight
64
Key Indicators
Unemployment
4.3%
unemployment rate
Wage Growth YoY
+3.8%
avg hourly earnings
Employment Growth
+0.6%
nonfarm payrolls YoY
Labor Force YoY
+1.7%
civilian labor force YoY
Building Permits
+132.3%
permits YoY
Days on Market
27 days
median days on market
Labor Market Signal
GROWING
Payrolls expanding; hours softening — healthy growth with some moderation.
Economic Analysis

The Providence-Warwick metro area has an overall grade of B- with a composite score ranking it 48.4th percentile out of 50 US metros. This city's economic character is most defined by its strong labor force growth, with a year-over-year increase of 1.69%, and its extremely low affordability, with a cost of living ratio of 9.77, ranking it in the 2nd percentile. The combination of these metrics suggests a city with a growing workforce but significant challenges in attracting and retaining talent due to high costs.

Labor Demand

The employment growth rate in Providence-Warwick is 0.60% year-over-year, while weekly hours are deviating -0.451% from the city's own 12-month baseline, resulting in a labor demand composite score of 4.69, which ranks in the 64th percentile. This combination signals genuine demand expansion, as jobs are being added and hours are running above trend. However, the relatively modest employment growth rate suggests that this demand expansion is not overly robust.

Unemployment

The unemployment rate in Providence-Warwick is 4.30%, ranking it in the 20th percentile, indicating a relatively tight labor market. This means that businesses trying to hire in this city may face challenges in finding available workers, leading to potential wage pressure. With a tight market, employers may need to offer competitive salaries to attract top talent.

Wage Growth

The year-over-year wage growth rate in Providence-Warwick is 3.77%, ranking it near the median at the 50th percentile. This moderate wage growth rate suggests that labor costs for employers are rising, but not excessively so, while worker purchasing power is increasing at a steady pace. As a result, businesses can expect to see some upward pressure on labor costs, but it is not likely to be a major constraint.

Cost of Living

Providence-Warwick has a cost of living ratio of 9.77, with a PSF of $359/sqft and average hourly earnings of $36.75, ranking it in the 2nd percentile, indicating that the city is extremely expensive relative to peers. This low affordability ranking means that the city is at a significant disadvantage in terms of talent attraction, as workers may require wage premiums to offset the high cost of living. The 7.5% year-over-year increase in PSF further exacerbates this issue.

Labor Force Growth

The civilian labor force in Providence-Warwick is growing at a rate of 1.69% year-over-year, ranking it in the 88th percentile, indicating that the workforce supply is expanding rapidly. This strong labor force growth suggests that businesses have a growing pool of potential workers to draw from, making it easier to hire and staff operations.

Building Permits

The number of residential building permits in Providence-Warwick has increased by 132.32% year-over-year, ranking it in the 98th percentile, indicating that housing supply is expanding rapidly. This surge in building permits suggests that future affordability and workforce accommodation are likely to improve, as new housing stock comes online to meet growing demand.

Days on Market

The median days on market for homes in Providence-Warwick is currently 27 days, with a year-over-year decrease of 6.9%, ranking it in the 2nd percentile, indicating a very competitive market. This fast-paced market means that relocating workers may face challenges in finding available housing, making it essential for businesses to offer relocation assistance or other incentives to attract top talent.

Office Economy

Providence-Warwick has an office economy ranking in the 64th percentile, indicating a deep talent pool in professional and office sectors. This city is well-suited for businesses in the tech, finance, consulting, and HQ sectors, but may be less suitable for industries with more industrial or logistics-oriented workforces.

The Providence-Warwick metro area offers businesses a growing workforce and expanding housing supply, but its extremely low affordability and competitive housing market pose significant challenges for talent attraction and retention. The single biggest risk or constraint for decision-makers is the high cost of living, which may require businesses to offer wage premiums or other incentives to attract and retain top talent.