U.S. METRO ECONOMIC HEALTH · RANK #34 OF 50
Providence
Providence-Warwick
C+
Poor
43.1 score
Rank 34 of 50 metros
Metric Scorecard
Labor Demand 25% weight
54
Unemployment 20% weight
22
Wage Growth 15% weight
34
Cost of Living 12% weight
0
Labor Force YoY 10% weight
92
Bldg. Permits 10% weight
56
Days on Market 5% weight
68
Office Economy 3% weight
64
Key Indicators
Unemployment
4.3%
unemployment rate
Wage Growth YoY
+3.1%
avg hourly earnings
Employment Growth
+0.6%
nonfarm payrolls YoY
Labor Force YoY
+1.7%
civilian labor force YoY
Building Permits
+6.0%
permits YoY
Days on Market
39 days
median days on market
Labor Market Signal
STRONG
Employment and hours both above trend — genuine demand confirmation.
Economic Analysis

The Providence-Warwick metro area has an overall grade of C+ with a composite score ranking it 43.1th percentile out of 50 US metros. This city's economic character is most defined by its high labor force growth rate of +1.69% YoY and its extremely low cost of living affordability score, ranking at the 0th percentile due to a PSF to earnings ratio of 9.94. The combination of these metrics suggests a city with a growing workforce but significant challenges in affordability.

Labor Demand

The employment growth rate in Providence-Warwick is +0.60% YoY, and weekly hours are deviating +0.326% from the city's own 12-month baseline, indicating a near median labor demand composite score of 5.47. This combination signals a genuine demand expansion, as both jobs and hours are increasing. However, the growth rates are not exceptionally high, suggesting a moderate pace of economic activity.

Unemployment

The unemployment rate in Providence-Warwick is 4.30%, ranking at the 22nd percentile, indicating a below-average labor market with some slack. This means that businesses may find it slightly easier to hire in this market compared to tighter labor markets, but the relatively high unemployment rate also suggests weaker local consumer demand.

Wage Growth

The year-over-year wage growth in Providence-Warwick is +3.09%, ranking at the 34th percentile, indicating a moderate pace of wage growth. This rate suggests that employer labor costs are rising, but not extremely rapidly, and worker purchasing power is increasing at a reasonable pace.

Cost of Living

Providence-Warwick has a cost of living score ranking at the 0th percentile, with a PSF to earnings ratio of 9.94, driven by a PSF of $362/sqft and average hourly earnings of $36.41. This indicates that the city is extremely expensive relative to peers, making it challenging to attract talent without offering significant wage premiums.

Labor Force Growth

The civilian labor force in Providence-Warwick is growing at a rate of +1.69% YoY, ranking at the 92nd percentile, indicating a rapidly expanding workforce supply. This suggests that businesses have a growing pool of potential employees to hire from, which can support hiring capacity and growth plans.

Building Permits

The number of residential building permits in Providence-Warwick is increasing by +5.95% YoY, ranking at the 56th percentile, indicating a moderate expansion of housing supply. This suggests that developer confidence is present, and future housing supply is likely to improve, which can help with affordability and workforce accommodation.

Days on Market

The median days on market for homes in Providence-Warwick is 39 days, with a YoY increase of +2.6%, ranking at the 68th percentile. This indicates a slightly slower market, which can be more accessible for relocating workers, as they have more time to find and secure a home.

Office Economy

Providence-Warwick has an office economy score ranking at the 64th percentile, with a share of professional and office workers indicating a deep talent pool. This suggests that the city is well-suited for businesses in the tech, finance, consulting, and HQ sectors, but may be less suitable for industrial or logistics-dominant businesses.

The Providence-Warwick metro area offers businesses a growing labor force and a moderate pace of economic activity, but the extremely high cost of living poses a significant risk to talent attraction and retention. Decision-makers should carefully consider the need for wage premiums to compete in this market, as the city's affordability challenges may offset its other advantages.