U.S. METRO ECONOMIC HEALTH · RANK #5 OF 50
Hartford
Hartford-West Hartford-East Hartford
A+
Excellent
70.5 score
Rank 5 of 50 metros
Metric Scorecard
Labor Demand 25% weight
86
Unemployment 20% weight
98
Wage Growth 15% weight
74
Cost of Living 12% weight
33
Labor Force YoY 10% weight
96
Bldg. Permits 10% weight
38
Days on Market 5% weight
4
Office Economy 3% weight
26
Key Indicators
Unemployment
2.7%
unemployment rate
Wage Growth YoY
+5.3%
avg hourly earnings
Employment Growth
+1.9%
nonfarm payrolls YoY
Labor Force YoY
+2.8%
civilian labor force YoY
Building Permits
-7.6%
permits YoY
Days on Market
36 days
median days on market
Labor Market Signal
STRONG
Employment and hours both above trend — genuine demand confirmation.
Economic Analysis

The Hartford-West Hartford-East Hartford metro area has earned an overall grade of A+ with a composite score of 70.5th percentile, ranking it among the top US metros. This city's economic character is largely defined by its exceptional labor demand, with a composite score in the 86th percentile, and its extremely low unemployment rate of 2.70%, ranking in the 98th percentile. The combination of strong employment growth and low unemployment suggests a highly competitive job market.

Labor Demand

The city's employment growth rate of +1.88% year-over-year, combined with a +0.025% deviation in weekly hours from its own trend, signals genuine demand expansion. This indicates that the city is experiencing a surge in job creation, with hours worked also increasing, suggesting that businesses are not only hiring but also utilizing their workforce more intensively. This is a positive sign for businesses looking to expand or establish operations in the area.

Unemployment

The unemployment rate of 2.70% is extremely low, ranking in the 98th percentile, indicating a very tight labor market. This means that businesses may face challenges in finding and hiring qualified workers, and may need to offer competitive wages and benefits to attract top talent. As a result, wage pressure is likely to be high in this market.

Wage Growth

The year-over-year wage growth rate of +5.30% is above average, ranking in the 74th percentile, indicating moderate to fast wage growth. This suggests that labor costs for employers are rising, but workers are also experiencing increased purchasing power. Businesses should factor in the potential for rising labor costs when considering operations in this area.

Cost of Living

The city's cost of living, with a PSF of $251/sqft and average hourly earnings of $40.19/hr, resulting in a ratio of 6.25, ranks in the 33rd percentile, indicating that it is below average in terms of affordability. However, the PSF is increasing by 3.3% year-over-year, which may erode affordability over time. This suggests that the city may not have a significant talent attraction advantage due to affordability, and businesses may need to offer wage premiums to compensate.

Labor Force Growth

The civilian labor force is growing at a rate of +2.77% year-over-year, ranking in the 96th percentile, indicating a rapidly expanding workforce supply. This is a positive sign for businesses looking to hire, as it suggests that there will be a growing pool of potential workers to draw from. However, the tight labor market may still pose challenges in finding qualified candidates.

Building Permits

The year-over-year change in building permits is -7.56%, ranking in the 38th percentile, indicating a tightening of housing supply. This suggests that the city may face future affordability and workforce accommodation challenges, as the supply of housing is not keeping pace with demand. Businesses should factor in the potential for rising housing costs and reduced affordability when considering long-term operations in the area.

Days on Market

The current median days on market is 36 days, with a year-over-year decrease of -5.3%, ranking in the 4th percentile, indicating a very competitive and fast-paced housing market. This suggests that workers relocating to the city may face challenges in finding and securing housing, which could impact their decision to move to the area.

Office Economy

The city's office economy, with a composite score ranking in the 26th percentile, indicates a relatively shallow professional talent pool. This suggests that the city may be better suited for businesses that are not heavily reliant on specialized office or professional workers, such as industrial or logistics companies. However, businesses in the tech, finance, or consulting sectors may find it more challenging to attract and retain top talent in this market.

The Hartford-West Hartford-East Hartford metro area offers businesses a highly competitive and growing labor market, with strong demand and low unemployment. However, the single biggest risk or constraint for decision-makers is the potential for rising labor costs and reduced affordability due to the tightening housing supply and increasing PSF. Businesses should carefully consider these factors when evaluating the city as a potential location for operations.