U.S. METRO ECONOMIC HEALTH · RANK #12 OF 50
San Antonio
San Antonio-New Braunfels
B+
Above Average
58.2 score
Rank 12 of 50 metros
Metric Scorecard
Labor Demand 25% weight
82
Unemployment 20% weight
50
Wage Growth 15% weight
50
Cost of Living 12% weight
88
Labor Force YoY 10% weight
76
Bldg. Permits 10% weight
4
Days on Market 5% weight
24
Office Economy 3% weight
16
Key Indicators
Unemployment
3.7%
unemployment rate
Wage Growth YoY
+4.1%
avg hourly earnings
Employment Growth
+1.1%
nonfarm payrolls YoY
Labor Force YoY
+1.5%
civilian labor force YoY
Building Permits
-37.5%
permits YoY
Days on Market
61 days
median days on market
Labor Market Signal
STRONG
Employment and hours both above trend — genuine demand confirmation.
Economic Analysis

Unemployment & Labor Market

San Antonio's unemployment rate stands at 3.7%, within the healthy range of 3.5–4.5%. However, the year-over-year increase of 0.3 percentage points signals a modest deterioration in labor market conditions, as the jobless rate rises slightly. Although the overall rate remains low, the upward trend suggests emerging softness in employment absorption.

Workforce Supply

The civilian labor force in San Antonio is expanding at a rate of 1.47% year-over-year, indicating a positive and relatively strong growth in the available worker pool. This sustained growth supports long-term economic capacity, as a growing labor supply can meet rising demand. However, if job creation does not keep pace, it may exert mild downward pressure on wages.

Wage Growth

Average hourly earnings in San Antonio have increased by 4.08% year-over-year, exceeding the 4% threshold for strong wage growth. This increase likely outpaces inflation, contributing to improved real purchasing power for workers. The robust earnings growth reflects competitive labor pressures and supports stronger household consumption.

Labor Demand

San Antonio's labor demand is strong, as evidenced by a high Labor Demand Composite score of 6.44 and employment growth of 1.09% year-over-year, which is moderate but positive. With weekly hours worked 0.618% above the 12-month baseline, employers are relying on existing staff, indicating sustained demand. These metrics point to a labor market with solid underlying demand, despite only moderate payroll expansion.

Cost of Living

San Antonio's cost of living composite ratio is 1.23, indicating relatively high affordability compared to local earnings. This means residents can stretch their incomes further, particularly on housing. The city's affordability enhances its attractiveness for households and supports real income gains, despite broader regional cost pressures.

Office Economy

The Office Worker Ratio composite score is 1.36, very low compared to peer cities, indicating a minimal concentration of white-collar or professional services employment. San Antonio's economy is structurally tilted toward sectors like government, healthcare, logistics, and retail, rather than knowledge-intensive industries. This limits high-wage job density and may constrain long-term productivity growth.

Housing — Construction

Residential building permits have declined by 37.55% year-over-year, a sharp contraction in construction activity. This steep decline suggests waning builder confidence, possibly due to higher financing costs, oversupply concerns, or weakening demand. A drop of this magnitude raises risks of future supply shortages if demand rebounds without a corresponding construction response.

Housing — Market Velocity

Homes in San Antonio are taking a median of 61.0 days to sell, with a year-over-year increase of 1.67% in days on market. This indicates that homes are selling slightly slower than last year, signaling a softening market with reduced buyer urgency. The low Days on Market composite score of 6.99 confirms a slowdown in transaction velocity.

Conclusion

San Antonio's economy is performing above average overall, supported by a healthy unemployment rate, strong wage growth, and solid labor demand. Key strengths include workforce expansion and high housing affordability, which enhance livability and consumer purchasing power. However, risks are emerging in the housing sector, with a dramatic 37.55% drop in building permits and a slight market slowdown. The city's low office worker ratio underscores a structural reliance on non-professional service sectors, limiting high-end job formation. Near-term growth will depend on whether labor demand can sustain wage gains amid cooling housing activity.