U.S. METRO ECONOMIC HEALTH · RANK #38 OF 50
Minneapolis
Minneapolis-St. Paul-Bloomington
C+
Poor
40.4 score
Rank 38 of 50 metros
Metric Scorecard
Labor Demand 25% weight
58
Unemployment 20% weight
26
Wage Growth 15% weight
4
Cost of Living 12% weight
59
Labor Force YoY 10% weight
24
Bldg. Permits 10% weight
80
Days on Market 5% weight
28
Office Economy 3% weight
40
Key Indicators
Unemployment
4.4%
unemployment rate
Wage Growth YoY
+0.3%
avg hourly earnings
Employment Growth
+1.4%
nonfarm payrolls YoY
Labor Force YoY
-1.3%
civilian labor force YoY
Building Permits
+31.9%
permits YoY
Days on Market
39 days
median days on market
Labor Market Signal
GROWING
Payrolls expanding; hours softening — healthy growth with some moderation.
Economic Analysis

The Minneapolis-St. Paul-Bloomington metro area has an overall grade of C+ with a composite score ranking it at the 40.4th percentile out of 50 US metros. This city's economic character is most defined by its near-median labor demand composite score of 5.57 and its bottom-tier wage growth of +0.27% year-over-year. The combination of these metrics suggests a mixed economic environment, with labor demand driven more by hours worked than job growth.

Labor Demand

The employment growth rate in Minneapolis-St. Paul-Bloomington is +1.39% year-over-year, while weekly hours are -0.671% below the city's own trend. This combination signals a labor market that is not experiencing genuine demand expansion, as the growth in jobs is not accompanied by an increase in hours worked, suggesting some level of survivor squeeze where remaining workers may be absorbing the load of eliminated roles.

Unemployment

The unemployment rate in Minneapolis-St. Paul-Bloomington is 4.40%, ranking it at the 26th percentile, indicating a market with some slack. This means that while it may not be extremely difficult for a business to hire here, the labor market is not as tight as in other cities, potentially leading to less wage pressure but also weaker local consumer demand.

Wage Growth

The year-over-year wage growth in Minneapolis-St. Paul-Bloomington is +0.27%, placing it in the bottom tier at the 4th percentile. This stagnant wage growth environment means that labor costs for employers are not rising quickly, but it also indicates weak bargaining power for workers and potentially limited purchasing power.

Cost of Living

Minneapolis-St. Paul-Bloomington has a cost of living score that ranks it at the 59th percentile, with a PSF to earnings ratio of $208/sqft to $40.75/hr, or 5.10. The PSF has been falling by -1.9% year-over-year, making the city more affordable relative to its peers. This affordability could be a talent attraction advantage, as workers may not require significant wage premiums to maintain their standard of living.

Labor Force Growth

The civilian labor force in Minneapolis-St. Paul-Bloomington has been shrinking at a rate of -1.32% year-over-year, indicating a contracting labor supply. This contraction poses a structural headwind for hiring, as the pool of available workers is decreasing, which could exacerbate labor shortages in certain sectors.

Building Permits

The city has seen a +31.92% year-over-year increase in residential building permits, ranking it in the top tier at the 80th percentile. This significant expansion in housing supply signals improving affordability and a more accommodating environment for the workforce, suggesting that the city is likely to remain attractive for relocating workers and businesses.

Days on Market

Homes in Minneapolis-St. Paul-Bloomington are currently sitting on the market for a median of 39 days, with no year-over-year change. This relatively fast market, ranking at the 28th percentile, means that relocating workers may face a competitive environment when searching for housing, potentially making it tougher for businesses to attract talent without offering relocation assistance.

Office Economy

The share of jobs in professional and office sectors in Minneapolis-St. Paul-Bloomington ranks at the 40th percentile, indicating a moderately deep talent pool suited for businesses in tech, finance, consulting, and HQ operations. However, the city may be less suited for industries that are more industrial or logistics-dominant, given its relatively lower ranking in these areas.

The Minneapolis-St. Paul-Bloomington metro offers a mixed bag for businesses, with affordability and expanding housing supply as positives, but stagnant wage growth and a shrinking labor force as significant challenges. The single biggest risk or constraint for a decision-maker is the city's limited labor force growth, which could lead to hiring difficulties and labor shortages, potentially outweighing the benefits of locating in this metro area.