U.S. METRO ECONOMIC HEALTH · RANK #38 OF 50
Indianapolis
Indianapolis-Carmel-Greenwood
C+
Poor
41.5 score
Rank 38 of 50 metros
Metric Scorecard
Labor Demand 25% weight
10
Unemployment 20% weight
92
Wage Growth 15% weight
6
Cost of Living 12% weight
8
Labor Force YoY 10% weight
54
Bldg. Permits 10% weight
82
Days on Market 5% weight
90
Office Economy 3% weight
20
Key Indicators
Unemployment
3.0%
unemployment rate
Wage Growth YoY
+0.4%
avg hourly earnings
Employment Growth
-1.1%
nonfarm payrolls YoY
Labor Force YoY
-0.2%
civilian labor force YoY
Building Permits
+19.7%
permits YoY
Days on Market
45 days
median days on market
Labor Market Signal
SQUEEZE
Payrolls contracting while hours rise — survivor squeeze signal.
Economic Analysis

The Indianapolis-Carmel-Greenwood metro area has an overall grade of C+ with a composite score ranking it 41.4th percentile out of 50 US metros. This city's economic character is most defined by its low labor demand, with a composite score in the bottom tier, and its tight unemployment market, with a rate of 3.00% ranking it in the top tier. The combination of these two metrics, particularly the low labor demand and stagnant wage growth, signals a challenging environment for businesses looking to expand or relocate.

Labor Demand

The employment growth rate in Indianapolis-Carmel-Greenwood is -1.06% year-over-year, and weekly hours are deviating from the trend by +0.398%. This combination signals a contraction in labor demand, rather than genuine demand expansion, as the hours worked are slightly above trend despite job losses. This scenario may indicate a survivor squeeze, where remaining workers are absorbing the load of eliminated roles.

Unemployment

The unemployment rate in Indianapolis-Carmel-Greenwood is 3.00%, ranking it in the top tier with a percentile score of 92. This tight labor market means that businesses may face challenges in hiring, as there is less slack in the market, and may need to offer higher wages to attract talent. The practical implication for a business trying to hire here is that it may need to offer competitive salaries and benefits to attract and retain workers.

Wage Growth

The year-over-year wage growth in Indianapolis-Carmel-Greenwood is +0.36%, ranking it in the bottom tier with a percentile score of 6. This stagnant wage growth signals that labor costs for employers are not rising rapidly, but it also means that worker purchasing power is not increasing significantly. The implication for employer labor costs is that they can expect a relatively flat cost environment, but workers may have weak bargaining power.

Cost of Living

Indianapolis-Carmel-Greenwood has a cost of living score ranking it in the bottom tier with a percentile score of 8, with a PSF of $167/sqft and average hourly earnings of $32.82/hr, resulting in a ratio of 5.09. This means that the city is relatively expensive compared to its peers, which could make it challenging to attract talent without offering wage premiums. The city's low affordability score may put it at a disadvantage in competing for businesses and workers.

Labor Force Growth

The civilian labor force in Indianapolis-Carmel-Greenwood is growing at a rate of -0.25% year-over-year, ranking it near the median with a percentile score of 54. This contraction in labor force supply means that the hiring capacity for businesses may be limited, and they may need to invest in training and development to attract and retain workers. The implication for hiring is that businesses may face structural headwinds in finding qualified workers.

Building Permits

The number of residential building permits in Indianapolis-Carmel-Greenwood is increasing by +19.68% year-over-year, ranking it in the top tier with a percentile score of 82. This expansion in housing supply signals that developer confidence is strong, and future affordability and workforce accommodation may improve. The increase in building permits is a positive sign for the city's ability to attract and retain workers.

Days on Market

The median days on market for homes in Indianapolis-Carmel-Greenwood is 45 days, with a year-over-year increase of +9.8%, ranking it in the top tier with a percentile score of 90. This means that the market is relatively slow, and workers relocating to the city may have an easier time finding a home. The rising days on market indicates a healthy normalization of the housing market, rather than a demand erosion.

Office Economy

The share of professional and office workers in Indianapolis-Carmel-Greenwood is below average, ranking it in the 20th percentile. This means that the city's talent pool is not as deep as other metros, and it may be less suited for businesses that require a high concentration of tech, finance, or consulting talent. The city's office economy is more geared towards industrial or logistics-dominant businesses.

The Indianapolis-Carmel-Greenwood metro area offers businesses a relatively stable and slow-growing economy, with a tight labor market and stagnant wage growth. However, the single biggest risk or constraint for a decision-maker is the city's low labor demand and relatively expensive cost of living, which may make it challenging to attract and retain talent without offering competitive salaries and benefits.