U.S. METRO ECONOMIC HEALTH · RANK #33 OF 50
Baltimore
Baltimore-Columbia-Towson
B-
Below Average
44.6 score
Rank 33 of 50 metros
Metric Scorecard
Labor Demand 25% weight
20
Unemployment 20% weight
50
Wage Growth 15% weight
56
Cost of Living 12% weight
65
Labor Force YoY 10% weight
56
Bldg. Permits 10% weight
26
Days on Market 5% weight
88
Office Economy 3% weight
26
Key Indicators
Unemployment
3.9%
unemployment rate
Wage Growth YoY
+4.2%
avg hourly earnings
Employment Growth
-0.7%
nonfarm payrolls YoY
Labor Force YoY
-0.2%
civilian labor force YoY
Building Permits
-11.9%
permits YoY
Days on Market
36 days
median days on market
Labor Market Signal
WEAK
Both employment and hours declining — broad contraction.
Economic Analysis

The Baltimore-Columbia-Towson metro area has an overall grade of B- with a composite score ranking it 44.4th percentile out of 50 US metros. This city's economic character is most defined by its below-average labor demand, with a composite score of 3.28, and its relatively high cost of living, with a ratio of $219/sqft to $36.68/hr, ranking it 67th percentile in affordability. The labor demand and cost of living metrics are crucial in understanding the city's economic landscape, with employment growth at -0.73% and weekly hours deviation at -0.398%.

Labor Demand

The employment growth rate in Baltimore-Columbia-Towson is -0.73%, and weekly hours are deviating -0.398% from the city's own 12-month baseline, signaling a contraction in labor demand. This combination indicates a lack of genuine demand expansion, with the city experiencing a decline in both job creation and working hours. As a result, businesses may face a less competitive environment for talent, but also less pressure to increase wages.

Unemployment

The unemployment rate in Baltimore-Columbia-Towson is 3.90%, ranking it near the median at the 49th percentile. This rate suggests that the labor market has some slack, making it relatively easier for businesses to hire compared to tighter markets. However, this also implies that local consumer demand may be weaker due to the availability of labor.

Wage Growth

The year-over-year wage growth in Baltimore-Columbia-Towson is +4.24%, ranking it near the median at the 56th percentile. This moderate wage growth rate suggests that labor costs for employers are increasing, but at a manageable pace. Additionally, workers in the area are experiencing a modest increase in purchasing power, which can contribute to local economic activity.

Cost of Living

Baltimore-Columbia-Towson has a cost of living ratio of $219/sqft to $36.68/hr, with the price per square foot decreasing by -1.4% year-over-year, ranking it 67th percentile in affordability. This means that the city is more affordable than many of its peers, which can be a significant advantage for talent attraction without requiring wage premiums. Businesses can leverage this affordability to attract and retain workers without incurring excessive labor costs.

Labor Force Growth

The civilian labor force in Baltimore-Columbia-Towson is growing at a rate of -0.22% year-over-year, indicating a slight contraction in the labor pool. This contraction implies that the hiring capacity for businesses may be limited, posing a structural headwind for companies looking to expand their workforce in the area.

Building Permits

The number of residential building permits in Baltimore-Columbia-Towson has decreased by -11.88% year-over-year, signaling a tightening of the housing supply. This decrease in building permits suggests that future affordability and workforce accommodation may be at risk, potentially leading to increased competition for housing and higher costs for workers.

Days on Market

The median days on market for homes in Baltimore-Columbia-Towson is 36 days, with a year-over-year increase of +9.1%, ranking it at the 88th percentile. This slower market means that workers relocating to the city may find it more accessible to purchase or rent a home, as properties are staying on the market longer. However, this also indicates a less competitive housing market, which may be a concern for businesses relying on a dynamic and growing population.

Office Economy

The share of professional and office workers in Baltimore-Columbia-Towson is below average, ranking at the 26th percentile. This suggests that the city has a relatively shallow talent pool for tech, finance, consulting, and HQ decisions, making it less suited for businesses that rely heavily on these sectors. However, the city may be more attractive to industries with different workforce requirements, such as logistics or manufacturing.

The Baltimore-Columbia-Towson metro area offers businesses a relatively affordable cost of living and a moderate pace of wage growth, but it is constrained by below-average labor demand and a tightening housing supply. The single biggest risk or constraint for decision-makers is the limited hiring capacity due to the contracting labor pool, which may pose a significant challenge for companies looking to expand their operations in the area.