U.S. METRO ECONOMIC HEALTH · RANK #9 OF 50
Baltimore
Baltimore-Columbia-Towson
A-
Good
64.7 score
Rank 9 of 50 metros
Metric Scorecard
Labor Demand 25% weight
24
Unemployment 20% weight
84
Wage Growth 15% weight
90
Cost of Living 12% weight
90
Labor Force YoY 10% weight
64
Bldg. Permits 10% weight
52
Days on Market 5% weight
92
Office Economy 3% weight
48
Key Indicators
Unemployment
3.5%
unemployment rate
Wage Growth YoY
+6.4%
avg hourly earnings
Employment Growth
-0.2%
nonfarm payrolls YoY
Labor Force YoY
+0.4%
civilian labor force YoY
Building Permits
-2.8%
permits YoY
Days on Market
46 days
median days on market
Labor Market Signal
SQUEEZE
Payrolls contracting while hours rise — survivor squeeze signal.
Economic Analysis

The Baltimore-Columbia-Towson metro area has an overall grade of A- with a composite score ranking at the 64.7th percentile among 50 US metros. This city's economic character is most defined by its low unemployment rate of 3.50% and strong wage growth of +6.37% year-over-year, indicating a tight labor market with rising labor costs. The combination of these metrics suggests a competitive environment for businesses looking to attract and retain top talent.

Labor Demand

The employment growth rate in Baltimore-Columbia-Towson is -0.16% year-over-year, while weekly hours are running 0.150% above trend. This combination signals a survivor squeeze, where remaining workers are absorbing the load of eliminated roles, rather than genuine demand expansion. The labor demand composite score of 3.93 ranks below average at the 24th percentile.

Unemployment

The unemployment rate in Baltimore-Columbia-Towson is 3.50%, ranking at the 84th percentile, indicating a very tight labor market. This means that businesses may face challenges in hiring, as the pool of available workers is relatively small, and may need to offer competitive wages to attract top talent. The tight market also implies upward pressure on wages.

Wage Growth

Wage growth in Baltimore-Columbia-Towson is +6.37% year-over-year, ranking at the 90th percentile, indicating fast-rising labor costs for employers. This strong wage growth is good for worker purchasing power, but may pose challenges for businesses looking to control labor costs. The rapid wage growth suggests a competitive labor market where workers have strong bargaining power.

Cost of Living

Baltimore-Columbia-Towson has a cost of living score ranking at the 90th percentile, with a PSF of $213/sqft, which is falling by 2.7% year-over-year, and an average hourly earnings of $37.72/hr, resulting in a ratio of 5.65. This indicates that the city is relatively affordable compared to its peers, making it an attractive location for talent without requiring significant wage premiums. The falling PSF is a key driver of the high affordability score.

Labor Force Growth

The labor force in Baltimore-Columbia-Towson is growing at a rate of +0.41% year-over-year, ranking at the 64th percentile, indicating a slowly expanding workforce supply. This moderate growth rate suggests that hiring capacity is relatively stable, but may not be able to keep pace with rapid business expansion. The growing labor force is a positive sign for businesses looking to hire.

Building Permits

The number of building permits in Baltimore-Columbia-Towson is decreasing by -2.77% year-over-year, ranking near the median at the 52nd percentile. This decline in permits suggests that housing supply may be tightening, which could lead to future affordability challenges and make it harder for workers to relocate to the area. The slowing permit growth is a concern for future workforce accommodation.

Days on Market

The median days on market in Baltimore-Columbia-Towson is 46 days, with a year-over-year increase of +12.2%, ranking at the 92nd percentile. This indicates a slower market, where homes are taking longer to sell, making it more accessible for workers relocating to the area. The rising days on market suggests a healthy normalization of the housing market.

Office Economy

Baltimore-Columbia-Towson has an office economy score ranking at the 48th percentile, with a share of professional and office workers at 2.50 out of 5. This suggests a moderately deep talent pool, making the city suited for businesses that require a mix of professional and non-professional roles. The city may not be the best fit for businesses that require a highly specialized or knowledge-intensive workforce.

The Baltimore-Columbia-Towson metro area offers businesses a unique combination of a tight labor market, strong wage growth, and relatively affordable cost of living, making it an attractive location for talent. However, the single biggest risk or constraint for decision-makers is the potential for future affordability challenges and tightening housing supply, which could make it harder for workers to relocate to the area and pose challenges for businesses looking to expand.