U.S. METRO ECONOMIC HEALTH · RANK #15 OF 50
Baltimore
Baltimore-Columbia-Towson
B
Average
54.0 score
Rank 15 of 50 metros
Metric Scorecard
Labor Demand 25% weight
18
Unemployment 20% weight
56
Wage Growth 15% weight
88
Cost of Living 12% weight
88
Labor Force YoY 10% weight
56
Bldg. Permits 10% weight
32
Days on Market 5% weight
94
Office Economy 3% weight
36
Key Indicators
Unemployment
4.2%
unemployment rate
Wage Growth YoY
+6.0%
avg hourly earnings
Employment Growth
-0.5%
nonfarm payrolls YoY
Labor Force YoY
-0.0%
civilian labor force YoY
Building Permits
-10.3%
permits YoY
Days on Market
44 days
median days on market
Labor Market Signal
WEAK
Both employment and hours declining — broad contraction.
Economic Analysis

The Baltimore-Columbia-Towson metro area has an overall grade of B, ranking in the 54.0th percentile among 50 US metros, with a composite score driven largely by its strong wage growth and affordable cost of living, scoring 88th percentile in both metrics, with a wage growth rate of +5.99% and a cost of living ratio of $214/sqft vs $37.96/hr. The city's economic character is defined by these two metrics, which signal a competitive labor market with rising earnings and a relatively low cost of living. Specifically, the cost of living is becoming more affordable, with PSF falling by 3.2% YoY.

Labor Demand

The employment growth rate in Baltimore-Columbia-Towson is -0.47% YoY, and weekly hours are deviating -0.175% from the city's own 12-month baseline, resulting in a labor demand composite score of 3.64, which ranks in the bottom tier at 18th percentile. This combination signals a contraction in labor demand, indicating that the city is experiencing a slowdown in job growth and hours worked. This suggests that businesses may face less competition for labor, but also a less dynamic job market.

Unemployment

The unemployment rate in Baltimore-Columbia-Towson is 4.20%, ranking near the median at 56th percentile, indicating a relatively balanced labor market with some slack. This means that businesses may find it moderately easy to hire workers, without excessive wage pressure. However, the market is not so loose that it would lead to a significant surplus of available labor.

Wage Growth

The year-over-year wage growth in Baltimore-Columbia-Towson is +5.99%, ranking in the top tier at 88th percentile, indicating fast-rising labor costs for employers. This strong wage growth is good for worker purchasing power, as employees are seeing significant increases in their earnings. However, this may put pressure on businesses to adjust their compensation packages to remain competitive.

Cost of Living

Baltimore-Columbia-Towson has a cost of living ratio of $214/sqft vs $37.96/hr, with PSF falling by 3.2% YoY, resulting in a top-tier percentile rank of 88th, making it more affordable relative to peers. This means that the city has a talent attraction advantage, as workers can afford a higher standard of living without requiring wage premiums. The falling PSF is a key driver of this affordability, making the city an attractive location for businesses looking to relocate or expand.

Labor Force Growth

The civilian labor force in Baltimore-Columbia-Towson is growing at a rate of -0.04% YoY, ranking near the median at 56th percentile, indicating a slightly contracting labor pool. This means that the supply of available workers is not expanding, which may pose a structural headwind for hiring in the long term. Businesses may need to consider strategies to attract workers from other areas or invest in workforce development programs.

Building Permits

The number of residential building permits in Baltimore-Columbia-Towson is decreasing by -10.35% YoY, ranking below average at 32nd percentile, indicating a tightening housing supply. This signals that future affordability and workforce accommodation may be at risk, as the supply of new housing is not keeping pace with demand. This could lead to increased competition for available housing and higher costs for workers.

Days on Market

The current median days on market in Baltimore-Columbia-Towson is 44 days, with a YoY increase of +12.8%, resulting in a top-tier percentile rank of 94th. This means that homes are sitting on the market for longer, indicating a slower and more buyer-friendly market. For workers relocating to this city, this means that they may have more time to find a home and negotiate a better price, making the city a more accessible location.

Office Economy

Baltimore-Columbia-Towson has an office economy percentile rank of 36th, indicating a relatively shallow professional talent pool. This means that the city is less suited for businesses that require a deep pool of specialized office workers, such as tech or finance companies. However, the city may be more attractive to businesses that require a more general workforce or have a strong logistics or industrial component.

The Baltimore-Columbia-Towson metro area offers businesses a competitive labor market with rising earnings and a relatively low cost of living, making it an attractive location for talent attraction and retention. However, the single biggest risk or constraint for decision-makers is the tightening housing supply, which may lead to increased competition for available housing and higher costs for workers, potentially offsetting the city's affordability advantages.